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You are at:Home»Markets»‘It’s like Groundhog Day’: Canadian dairy producers are used to Trump
Markets

‘It’s like Groundhog Day’: Canadian dairy producers are used to Trump

July 12, 20253 Mins Read
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Dairy producers say they’re used to U.S. President Donald Trump’s jabs at their industry, as he threatens yet another round of tariffs on Canada. But they’re still worried about what the continued threats could mean for the supply management system that protects them.

In a letter posted to Truth Social last night, Trump threatened Canada with a 35 per cent blanket tariff starting Aug. 1. The letter also specifically called out the dairy industry.

“Canada charges extraordinary tariffs to our dairy farmers — up to 400 per cent — and that is even assuming our dairy farmers even have access to sell their products to the people of Canada.”

The claims — though not entirely accurate — refer to Canada’s supply management system, with which Trump has long taken issue. In short, Canada controls imports across a few sectors including dairy, poultry and eggs. There are also limits to how much Canadian producers can make of a given product, and how much U.S. producers can send here.

WATCH | Is Trump right about Canada’s dairy tariffs?: 

Is Trump right about Canada charging 250% dairy tariffs? | About That

President Donald Trump says Canada has been ripping off the United States, imposing tariffs of up to 400 per cent on imported American dairy products. Andrew Chang breaks down Trump’s claims, explaining how dairy tariffs work and how likely it is that anyone is actually paying such sky-high charges.
Images supplied by Reuters, Getty Images and The Canadian Press. Additional credits (Credit: 9:17 Skotidakis/Facebook), (Credit: 9:21 Elite Dairy).

American dairy producers’ exports are allowed to make up about 3.5 per cent of Canada’s dairy market right now, though the rates vary depending on the exact product. 

If they go over that quota, then they’re tariffed at a high rate. Those rates also depend on the product, but for butter, for example, a 298.5 per cent levy applies for 2025, while the figure for cheddar cheese is 245.5 per cent. None of the surplus dairy tariff rates go as high as 400 per cent, however, as the president said. The cap is in place to ensure American dairy, which its government heavily subsidizes, doesn’t flood the Canadian market. 

Dairy producers worry about supply management 

Philip Armstrong, partner at Armstrong Manor Farm in Caledon, Ont., says the threats against dairy feel like Groundhog Day, given how often Trump brings them up.

“Dairy seems to sit in his brain,” Armstrong said. “So we’ve kind of got immune to it.… There’s not much you can do about [the threats].”

However, it’s still troubling, Armstrong says, because he fears that Canada will make concessions on the supply management system in trade negotiations.

WATCH | Why Trump hates Canada’s dairy system: 

How Canada’s dairy supply management system works — and why Trump hates it

Donald Trump is not a fan of Canada’s dairy supply management system — repeatedly attacking it in his first term and going after it again as he prepares to return to…



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