How The Narrative Around MSCI (MSCI) Is Shifting With Slower Growth And

MSCI’s fair value estimate has been trimmed only marginally, shifting from about US$657.56 to about US$657.40, with the model also reflecting slightly lower revenue growth assumptions and a modestly reduced discount rate. These fine tuning moves line up with analysts folding in both confidence around MSCI’s recurring revenue and client retention, as well as more cautious expectations around areas like Sustainability product growth. Stay tuned to see how you can keep on top of these small but important narrative shifts as fresh research and assumptions roll in over time.

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🐂 Bullish Takeaways

• Clear Street highlights MSCI as a high quality stock with high recurring revenue, a healthy growth rate, strong margins, and high client retention, all of which support a sustained premium valuation multiple in their view.

• The firm points to MSCI’s execution on sticky, recurring revenue and retention as key reasons to stay constructive on the long term story, even while using a more cautious rating.

🐻 Bearish Takeaways

• Clear Street starts coverage with a Hold rating and a US$555 price target, signaling that, in their view, a lot of the quality and consistency of the business is already reflected in the current share price.

• The firm flags a slowdown in the growth rate of Sustainability products, which it says has pulled down overall revenue growth, and indicates it prefers to wait for a better entry point before getting more positive on the shares.

Do your thoughts align with the Bull or Bear Analysts? Perhaps you think there’s more to the story. Head to the Simply Wall St Community to discover more perspectives or begin writing your own Narrative!

• The New York Stock Exchange, part of Intercontinental Exchange, agreed for the NYSE to become the U.S. options listings venue for several benchmark MSCI indexes in early 2026, with contracts planned on MSCI Emerging Markets, MSCI EAFE, MSCI ACWI, MSCI World and MSCI USA, subject to regulatory approval.

• MSCI launched the MSCI All Country Public + Private Equity Index, a daily index that combines public equities and a modelled view of private equity in a single framework, based on MSCI ACWI IMI and a new MSCI All Country Private Equity Index built from data on nearly 10,000 private equity funds.

• MSCI announced an offering of senior unsecured notes, with the company indicating it may use the proceeds for general corporate purposes that could include share repurchases, investments and acquisitions.

• MSCI completed a share repurchase program announced on October 29, 2024, buying back a total of 3,330,219 shares, or 4.29% of its shares, for US$1,882.14m, and on October 25, 2025, the Board of Directors authorized a new plan to repurchase up to US$3,000m of common shares.