Dalio foresees a financial pattern where cryptocurrencies could mirror gold’s historic value surges during crises.
One of the most famous investors, Ray Dalio, has expressed a very interesting opinion about cryptocurrencies. He implies that they could trace the tumultuous past of gold. These observations were made by Dalio in a lengthy conversation on his X account.
He pointed to the mounting debt crisis in America and its impact on emerging forms of assets. Dalio says that cryptocurrencies are likely to follow the footsteps of gold in the 1930s and 1970s. These were the years of steep financial changes and volatility.
Dalio cautions that the huge debt and political actions undertaken by America jeopardize the position of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. Cryptocurrencies may become more popular as a result.. He thinks these changes are the precursors of a significant financial change, as it used to happen historically.
U.S. Debt Crisis: There is a Backdoor to Dollars and Bonds
Dalio compared the debt situation of the U.S. to a debt-induced heart attack. Much more money is being spent by the government than is coming in. On their own, interest payments amount to about $1 trillion every year. Meanwhile, the government has to roll over approximately 9 trillion dollars in debt.
This massive debt burden limits expenditure in other important sectors. Dalio says this strains the economy’s lending system. Similar to the human body, where there is an increase in debts compared to the income, the system becomes weak.
A dilemma is now brought before central banks. They are forced to make decisions either by allowing interest rates to go up or by printing more money. An increase in rates can create a financial crisis and debt defaults. Money will be printed, leading to inflation and weakening of the dollar.
Dalio believes that the United States of America is getting closer and closer to the brink of its current enormous debt cycle. History tells us that late-cycle periods can be very turbulent. This is the end-of-cycle stress on both markets and governments.
Cryptocurrency: The New Gold in the Changing Financial Landscape
Dalio notes that there is a limited supply of cryptocurrencies. Contrast this with fiat currencies, which the state can produce endlessly. Cryptocurrencies become attractive as a result of increasing debt and inflation. They provide a prospective hoard of money which the fiat currencies fail to keep in circulation.
He makes comparisons to the rise of gold in earlier dollar crises. During the 1930s and 1970s, the price of gold shot up because people lost trust in paper currency. Dalio thinks that crypto might take the same path.
There are also other crypto demand drivers, such as geopolitical tensions and declining confidence in U.S. Treasury bonds. A lot of foreign investors are transferring funds into gold and crypto. It points to fears of discounting the government debt.
The entire interview with Dalio provided on X…
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